Roanoke College is out with a new poll this morning. Here are the key results, which are overwhelmingly great news for Democrats and bad news for Trump and Virginia Republicans.
“Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by 12 percentage points (51%-39%) in Virginia”
- “In what was then a hypothetical matchup, Biden led Trump 48%-40% in February.” So Biden’s up from +8 points then to +12 points now.
- “More than 90 percent of Democrats and Democratic leaners said they would vote for Biden, while just under 90 percent of Republicans and their leaners said they would vote for Trump. Only 2 percent in each party said they would cross over to vote for the other party’s candidate. Only 2 percent said they were unsure about their vote, while 8 percent said they would vote for another candidate.” (NOTE: These results are *strongly* in line with Professor Rachel Bitecofer’s “negative partisanship” model)
- “A majority of Virginians (54%) disapprove of the way President Trump is handling his job, while just over one-third (36%) approve.”
- “A majority (61%) of respondents think the country is on the wrong track, while 33 percent think it is headed in the right direction, which is significantly more negative than the last measurement in February 2020.”
- By a 63%-20% margin, Virginians disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job.
- “U.S. Senator Mark Warner leads his undetermined Republican opponent (48%-31%).”
“Job approval for Virginia Gov. Ralph Northam soared to 59 percent, up from 40 percent in February, while 29 percent disapprove of his performance.” This is up from 40%-41% in February 2020 and 32%-39% in February 2019.
- “More than half (57%) of respondents think that Virginia is headed in the right direction while 37 percent think it is on the wrong track.”