Polling shows Northam approval ratings highest ever; Biden crushing Trump

Roanoke College is out with a new poll this morning. Here are the key results, which are overwhelmingly great news for Democrats and bad news for Trump and Virginia Republicans.

  • “Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by 12 percentage points (51%-39%) in Virginia”

  • “In what was then a hypothetical matchup, Biden led Trump 48%-40% in February.” So Biden’s up from +8 points then to +12 points now.
  • “More than 90 percent of Democrats and Democratic leaners said they would vote for Biden, while just under 90 percent of Republicans and their leaners said they would vote for Trump. Only 2 percent in each party said they would cross over to vote for the other party’s candidate. Only 2 percent said they were unsure about their vote, while 8 percent said they would vote for another candidate.” (NOTE: These results are *strongly* in line with Professor Rachel Bitecofer’s “negative partisanship” model)
  • “A majority of Virginians (54%) disapprove of the way President Trump is handling his job, while just over one-third (36%) approve.”
  • “A majority (61%) of respondents think the country is on the wrong track, while 33 percent think it is headed in the right direction, which is significantly more negative than the last measurement in February 2020.”
  • By a 63%-20% margin, Virginians disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job.
  •  “U.S. Senator Mark Warner leads his undetermined Republican opponent (48%-31%).”
  • “Job approval for Virginia Gov. Ralph Northam soared to 59 percent, up from 40 percent in February, while 29 percent disapprove of his performance.” This is up from 40%-41% in February 2020 and 32%-39% in February 2019.

  • “More than half (57%) of respondents think that Virginia is headed in the right direction while 37 percent think it is on the wrong track.”

June 23:

US Senate and US House of Representatives Primary Election

Governor Northam has used his statutory authority to postpone the June 9 primary election to June 23. It is possible, if the COVID-19 pandemic has not receded by June 23, the primary may be delayed further.
To summarize the June 23 primary:
There will be TWO ballots, you must choose either Democratic or Republican ballot.
Republican ballot:  The Republicans have three candidates; the winner will run for the US Senate against Democratic Senator Mark Warner.
  • Alissa Baldwin, teacher
  • Daniel Gade, college professor and U.S. Army veteran
  • Thomas Speciale, U.S. Army veteran and intelligence officer
Democratic ballot:  In Virginia’s First Congressional District, Democrats have two candidates; the winner will run against the incumbent Republican, Rob Wittman.

Absentee Voting

If you want to vote absentee by mail, you can apply for an absentee ballot at any time.
Apply for absentee ballot online:
+++++  Use reason 2A “My disability or illness”
+++++  Indicate Dem or Rep ballot
Call your local Voter Registrar and request an application
+++++ Northumberland County 580-4655
+++++ Lancaster County 462-5277
In-person absentee voting

You can cast an absentee ballot in-person — if you will not be able to go to the polls on June 23, or, if you want to avoid crowds due to COVID-19 restrictions, you may vote in-person at the Northumberland County Voter Registrar’s office:

  • 45 Back Street, Heathsville
  • Small white building across from the Sonabank on Hwy 360 in Heathsville; big oak tree in front yard.  Signs will be in place by late May.
  • Back Street is the small street beside the building.  Drive around to the back of the building, push the doorbell button on the back door, and the Registrar or and Assistant Registrar will come out to assist you.

November general election

The November 3 general election will elect:
  • President
  • VP
  • Senate
  • House of Representatives
ALSO — two Northumberland County school board seats will be on the ballot in two County districts:
  • District 2 (if you vote at St Stephens, this is you), and,
  • District 3 (if you vote at Fairfields Methodist in Burgess, this is you).
The District 2 school board election is to replace the late Ms. Rita Hooper.  Dr. Edison Jackson is circulating petitions, needs 150 signatures to get on the ballot.
The District 3 school board election is to replace the late Gerald Howard.  Denise Mazyck has been circulating petitions, needs 150 signatures to get on the ballot.

Democratic Candidate Forum streamed live, Saturday, May 9

Fredericksburg area Democratic Committees are sponsoring a Democratic Congressional candidates’ forum:

  • Saturday, May 9
  • 10:00 AM

The candidates are:

  • Vangie Williams
  • Qasim Rashid    (NOTE:  If you are using Microsoft Edge web browser, you may get a virus warning — the site is safe, this is a glitch in the browser.)
The forum will be streamed live on Fredericksburg and Stafford County Democratic Committee Facebook pages.
Fredericksburg Democrats:
Stafford County Democrats:

Speak up!! Fight back!! Vote!! Get out the vote!!

This post is from Alex Call on Heather Cox Richardson’s Facebook page. This is what we are up against until Nov.

(NOTE:  If you are not familiar with the work of Heather Cox Richardson, Professor of History at Boston College, follow the link above to her Facebook page, and, read her daily commentary at this link.)

There are six months left until the most consequential presidential election since 1860. Not since that year, when Lincoln’s election eventually led to the preservation of the Union, has the nation been so at odds with itself, or closer to armed civil strife. The election follows hard on the heels of the most traumatic pandemic since the Influenza of 1918-1919. The news is all about COVID19 and has provided cover for the Trumpublican Right to fire the opening salvos in what promises to be the most bitter, lie-filled, angry, and dirty campaign season we have seen in our lifetimes.

Trump is reaping the hatred he has sown for the last five years. He is rightly reviled by normal folks. His poll numbers, never good, are sinking and he is behind Joe Biden in the key swing state polls. His terrible mishandling of the COVID19 crisis is obvious and carries the same marks as all his “governance”: blatant mendacity, incompetence, and callous disregard for the lives of citizens. But let’s not get sidetracked talking about Trump’s personal failures right now; we all know all about him. The bigger issue is how the Trumpublicans are going to fight this to- the- death war.

The Right plays dirty, they play to kill, and they know they must at all costs not lose power or they will face political marginalization for a long time. We outnumber them 60-40. In order to keep their minority rule, they are playing for keeps. We Dems tend to shoot ourselves in the groin with circular firing squads aimed at our own candidates instead of firing relentlessly at the actual enemy: Trump and the Trumpublicans. We must not ever forget what their tactics are: distract, divide, sew doubt and confusion, and push outrageous, outright lies. They are also masters at bringing forth seeming liberal voices to attack Dems.

Case in point: the absurd allegations of sexual assault against Joe Biden. This is classic distraction from Trump’s own well-chronicled, though completely unpunished, sexual misconduct and his falling numbers and failing grades for COVID19. The right has found a voice in Ruth Marcus, a centrist Wa-Po columnist who is leading the charge against Biden, even though the accuser’s story simply doesn’t hold up. Dems, do the “math”. Trump, who has terrible numbers among women voters, needs a distraction and gets one by painting Biden, who is scandal- free, as a sexual predator, which he is not. Dems go on alarm crying for investigations! Biden was VP for eight years; he’s been vetted! Fools.

Fools, fools we are. If we can’t see through this obvious ploy, designed to drive Biden’s numbers down and suppress turnout, then we will be easily torpedoed and sunk when the more serious fake “allegations” come hurtling like doomsday meteors at us as we get closer to Nov 3rd.
Trump is laughing into his Putin-phone. McConnell? Laughing into his Conservative-Judge-confirming shell.

Case number two: the protests at state capitols by armed militias demanding the “freedom”: to get infected and infect others. Give me a break. These idiots are organized by email trees and easily prodded into action by FOX, et al. They should be stopped on public health grounds alone. But the signal that is being sent to both their conspiracy-addled, camo-wearing, gun-toting compatriots on the Right and the rest of us sane people is that, “We are mad as hell, armed, we threaten violence, and we are coming this fall”. This is classic, though hyped-up, Republican voter suppression. Are we going to internally cower at the thought of these fools with their AR15’s? Many of them are saying they want a new civil war. VOTE.

Folks, it’s just beginning, and I already fear we are not paying attention. How many of you didn’t vote for Hillary Clinton because they believed “a little” in the
child-eating “scandal”? How many of us decided not to bother voting because, ”both sides are the same”? How many thought Hillary was just as bad as Trump, and what about her emails? This is nothing compared to what we going to see coming at us in the next six months.

Europeans couldn’t believe what was happening in Germany in 1933. Many hoped it would pass, but it was seen as madness, and madness it was. A similar madness has gripped our country and it must be stopped. Hitler and Goebbels were clever, but they did not have FOX News or the unbridled, open spaces of the internet to peddle their conspiracies, their hatreds, and their obfuscations, and to hide their actual subterfuge of our American Democracy. Our Democracy is at stake and it can easily slip away. Trump and his followers are fighting for complete domination and they plan to win and not give up power.

We must be aware right now of their ruthless campaigns of disinformation, lies, increasingly violent-looking protests, legal challenges in the Trump-appointed courts, and concealed criminal machinations. It is coming; it is here. Be awake and aware. Speak out, fight back.

Vote blue, no matter who.  Get your family, friends and neighbors to the polls and vote blue, no matter who!!!

Northumberland County Food Pantry needs help!!

Late last year, the Trump administration changed the eligibility requirements for food stamps, a decision that would have resulted in several million people nationwide losing food stamp (SNAP) eligibility.
Thanks to lobbying efforts from progressive groups, Congress pushed back, refusing to put Trump’s cuts in the FY20-21 budget.  Recently, a federal judge ruled the Trump administration order was   “arbitrary and capricious.” Then, on Wednesday, Trump signed a coronavirus response bill into law that explicitly reverses his previous rule change — but only during the coronavirus outbreak.
Meanwhile, restrictions due to the coronavirus outbreak have resulted in increased traffic at our local food pantry.
The one food pantry in Northumberland County is the “Gleamers and Blenders” located on Hwy 200, east of Burgess, across from the big Shiloh Baptist Church.  The director, Charles Howard, is not paid, nor are any of the volunteers who work at the food pantry; Charles also drives an ambulance for MidCounty Vol Rescue Squad as well as driving the Northumberland Public Library’s bookmobile.
Gleamers and Blenders receives food from several sources:
— USDA
— Food Lion donates meat, bread, and pastry products which Charles and other volunteers pick up 2-3 times a week
— Some local farms donate extra produce
— Local groups and individuals donate food and volunteers
They can always use canned food — my church collects food donations, which we deliver monthly.
If you or any organization you belong to can help — either one-time, occasionally, or permanently — by donating cash, food, or volunteer hours — all help is appreciated and will have a real impact.
If you want to send a check:
  • make your check payable to Gleamers and Blenders; 
  • mail the check to the Northumberland County Democratic Committee, PO Box 277, Heathsville VA 22473
  • we will get the checks to the food pantry.

April 16 meeting CANCELLED

This is a reminder that our Thursday, April 16, 2020, meeting is CANCELED.  Our Library is closed, and the State is under Governor’s orders that no more than ten individuals can meet at one time.

Additionally, the NAACP meeting scheduled for Monday, April 27, 2020, is also CANCELED.

We will meet again once the Governor’s edict is lifted.

ELECTION REMINDER: The primary election scheduled for June 9 has been moved to June 23.  See the article below for information about absentee voting by mail in case you are concerned about going to a polling place and encountering a crowd.

Sincerely yours,

Frank Kober, Chair Northumberland County Democratic Committee

IMPORTANT: Change in Virginia election dates; apply for an absentee ballot

Governor Northam has announced changes in the dates of upcoming elections

Town Elections

Some localities have town elections in May.  For example, Lancaster County has town elections for Kilmarnock, White Stone, and Irvington.  Northumberland County DOES NOT HAVE TOWN ELECTIONS.
When the General Assembly convenes in late April, the Governor will ask the General Assembly to move the May town elections to the same date as the November general election, November 3.

 

June US Senate and US House of Representatives Primary Election

Governor Northam has used his statutory authority to postpone the June 9 primary election to June 23.
It is possible, if the COVID-19 pandemic has not receded by June 23, the primary may be delayed further.
To summarize the June 23 primary:
There will be TWO ballots, you must choose either Democratic or Republican ballot.
Republican ballot:  The Republicans have three candidates; the winner will run for the US Senate against Democratic Senator Mark Warner.
  • Alissa Baldwin, teacher
  • Daniel Gade, college professor and U.S. Army veteran
  • Thomas Speciale, U.S. Army veteran and intelligence officer
Democratic ballot:  In Virginia’s First Congressional District, Democrats have two candidates; the winner will run against the incumbent Republican, Rob Wittman.

Absentee Voting

If you want to vote absentee by mail, you can apply for an absentee ballot at any time.  However, ballots will not be mailed out until 45 days before election day (approx. May 8).
Apply for absentee ballot online:
+++++  Use reason 2A “My disability or illness”
+++++  Indicate Dem or Rep ballot
Call your local Voter Registrar and request an application
+++++ Northumberland County 580-4655, 580-6224
+++++ Lancaster County 462-5277

November general election

The November 3 general election will elect:
  • President
  • VP
  • Senate
  • House of Representatives
ALSO — two Northumberland County school board seats will be on the ballot in two County districts:
  • District 2 (if you vote at St Stephens, this is you), and,
  • District 3 (if you vote at Fairfields Methodist in Burgess, this is you).
The District 2 school board election is to replace the late Ms. Rita Hooper.  Dr. Edison Jackson is circulating petitions, needs 150 signatures to get on the ballot.
The District 3 school board election is to replace the late Gerald Howard.  Denise Mazyck has been circulating petitions, needs 150 signatures to get on the ballot..

Absentee voting under COVID-19 restrictions

If you are concerned about encountering crowds while voting in the upcoming June 9 primary, you may vote absentee by mail.
Absentee voting starts on April 24.  If you request an absentee ballot before April 24, your ballot will not be mailed to you until the 24th.  If you want to apply, go ahead and apply — in Northumberland County, our Registrar is receiving applications daily; ballots will be mailed out on and after the 24th.
 
There has been much discussion in both state and national news about postponing the June primary, or requiring voters to vote by mail.  NO DECISION ON ANY OF THESE MATTERS HAS BEEN MADE IN VIRGINIA AS OF TODAY, APRIL 1.
 
TO REQUEST AN ABSENTEE BALLOT
CALL THE REGISTRAR’S OFFICE and request a ballot.
Northumberland County Registrar
804-580-6224
804-580-4655
Lancaster County Registrar
804-462-5277
Westmoreland County Registrar
804-493-8898
Richmond County Registrar
804-333-4772
REQUEST AN ABSENTEE BALLOT ON-LINE
This is the State Dept of Election website page where voters can request an absentee ballot online.
DOWNLOAD, PRINT, COMPLETE AND MAIL AN APPLICATION
Mail the application to your county registrar; a list of registrars with mailing addresses and phone numbers is on the form.
USE REASON 2A – My disability or illness in Block 3 of the form; no supporting documentation is required.
REMEMBER: 
 The June 9 election is a primary — you must specify if you want a DEMOCRATIC or a REPUBLICAN ballot.  There’s a place in Block 2 of the form to indicate Republican or Democratic Primary.
The purpose of the June 9 primary is for the parties to select their candidates for the November 3 Senate and House races.
U.S. SENATE:
Democrat Mark Warner has no opposition in the Democratic Party, thus, his name will not appear on the ballot.
Three Republicans will be on the Republican ballot, the winner will face Warner in the November general election:
Daniel Gade
Tom Speciale
Alissa Baldwin
U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES:
Republican Representative Rob Wittman has no opposition in the Republican primary, thus, his name will not appear on the ballot.
Two Democrats are on the Democratic ballot, the winner will face Wittman in the November general election:
Qashim Rashid
Lavangelene (Vangie) A. Williams
 
Any questions — call your County Registrar.

Watch this website for meeting announcements

With restrictions on public meetings in place because of the COVID-19 virus, Northumberland County Democrats are suspending all meetings until further notice.

Below are links to pages on the Virginia Dept of Health website with valuable information about dealing with the COVID-19 threat.

Here is a link to the Virginia Dept of Health PERSONAL AND HOME PREPAREDNESS site.  This link has important information and we urge everyone to bookmark this page and refer to it.

Here is a link to the Virginia Dept of Health COVID-19 page   that displays a map, updated daily, with the sad news of deaths from COVID-19 and its continued spread throughout Virginia.

This page on the DOH website has recommendations for individuals and families for dealing with the threat from COVID-19.